Research Catalog

Transition scenarios : China and the United States in the twenty-first century

Title
Transition scenarios : China and the United States in the twenty-first century / David P. Rapkin and William R. Thompson.
Author
Rapkin, David P.
Publication
  • Chicago, Illinois ; London, England : University of Chicago Press, [2013]
  • ©2013

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TextUse in library ICM (China) 13-7226Schwarzman Building - Milstein Division Room 121

Details

Additional Authors
Thompson, William R.
Description
273 pages : illustrations; 23 cm
Summary
China's rising status in the global economy alongside recent economic stagnation in Europe and the United States has led to considerable speculation that we are in the early stages of a transition in power relations. Commentators have tended to treat this transitional period as a novelty, but history is in fact replete with such systemic transitions--sometimes with perilous results. Can we predict the future by using the past? And, if so, what might history teach us? With Transition Scenarios, David P. Rapkin and William R. Thompson identify some predictors for power transitions and take readers through possible scenarios for future relations between China and the United States. Each scenario is embedded within a particular theoretical framework, inviting readers to consider the assumptions underlying it. -- Publisher website.
Subjects
Bibliography (note)
  • Includes bibliographical references and index.
Contents
Twenty-first-century transition struggles -- Scenario construction -- Scenarios of future United States-China warfare : what is missing from this picture? -- Power-transition, offensive-realism, and leadership long-cycle perspectives on structural transitions -- Systemic transition dynamics and the conflict drivers in the China-United States transition context -- Constraints on transition conflict -- Weak conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "more of the same" and "Pax Americana II" scenarios -- Weak conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "transition war" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "Pax Sinica" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "liberal peace" scenario -- Using the scenarios in the twenty-first century.
Call Number
ICM (China) 13-7226
ISBN
  • 9780226040332 (cloth : alkaline paper)
  • 022604033X (cloth : alkaline paper)
  • 9780226040479 (paperback : alkaline paper)
  • 022604047X (paperback : alkaline paper)
  • 9780226040509 (ebook) (canceled/invalid)
  • 022604050X (ebook) (canceled/invalid)
LCCN
2013003714
OCLC
826899647
Author
Rapkin, David P., author.
Title
Transition scenarios : China and the United States in the twenty-first century / David P. Rapkin and William R. Thompson.
Publisher
Chicago, Illinois ; London, England : University of Chicago Press, [2013]
Copyright Date
©2013
Type of Content
text
Type of Medium
unmediated
Type of Carrier
volume
Bibliography
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Added Author
Thompson, William R., author.
Research Call Number
ICM (China) 13-7226
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