Research Catalog

Title

Energy and economic reform in the former Soviet Union : implications for production, consumption and exports, and for the international energy markets / Leslie Dienes, Istvan Dobozi, Marian Radetzki.

Author

Dienes, Leslie.

Publication

New York : St. Martin's Press, 1994.

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Holdings

Details

Additional Authors

• Dobozi, István.
• Radetzki, Marian.
• SNS Energy.

Description

xiv, 246 pages : illustrations, maps; 23 cm

Summary

• This book provides a succinct account of what may happen to the energy sector in the Former Soviet Union (FSU) in the medium to long run under alternative scenarios for macroeconomic reform. The analyses reveal the serious damage of the oil-resource base caused by the reckless exploitation practices of the past. Production of oil and coal can recover only slowly from the doldrums of the early 1990s, but the potential to expand gas output is considerable.
• Energy-consumption practices have been extremely wasteful in the past. The total savings potential that could be accomplished as energy prices are allowed to rise, and incentives to economise on energy use are introduced, is huge. The likely evolution of FSU energy exports until 2005 is also explored, and the impact that changing export flows could have on the international prices of oil, coal and natural gas is discussed in detail.

Subject

• Energy policy > Former Soviet republics > Congresses
• Energy industries > Former Soviet republics > Congresses

Note

• "The study presented on the following pages was conceived at a conference organised by SNS Energy in Stockholm in late in 1990"--Acknowledgements.

Bibliography (note)

• Includes bibliographical references (p. 229-235) and index.

Contents

• 1. Alternative Scenarios for the FSU Reform Process. 1.2. Scenario 1: radical market reforms. 1.3. Scenario 2: gradual market reforms. 1.4. Scenario 3: extended period of reform impasse. 1.5. Scenario 4: reform impasse and internal war -- 2. Production Constraints and Prospects. 2.1. Physical-technological constraints. 2.1.1. Crude oil. 2.1.2. Natural gas. 2.1.3. Coal. 2.1.4. Western technology and its expected impact. 2.2. The economics of fuel supply in the FSU. 2.2.1. Marginal costs and the range of uncertainty. 2.2.2. Crude oil. 2.2.3. Natural gas. 2.2.4. Coal. 2.2.5. Geographic breakdown of fuel production. 2.3. Institutional and socio-political issues in energy sector reform. 2.3.1. The institutional structure of fuel production in 1992. 2.3.2. Institutional arrangements in the Russian fuel industries. 2.3.3. Effects of Intra-FSU Political Tensions. 2.3.4. Socio-economic constraints to fuel output in Scenario 1 -- Appendix 2.1: Assessing the distribution and recoverability of bypassed oil.
• Appendix 2.2: Three methods to compute required investment in the FSU's oil industry between 1993 and 2000 -- Appendix 2.3: Derivation of investment costs for a gas export pipeline -- 3. Prospects for FSU Energy Consumption. 3.2. Energy use patterns in the FSU. 3.2.1. Trends in energy efficiency. 3.2.2. Behavioural factors behind inefficient energy use and the magnitude of systemic wastage. 3.3. Structure of energy prices at the beginning of market reforms. 3.3.1. State-controlled prices. 3.3.2. Commodity-exchange prices. 3.3.3. Contract prices. 3.3.4. Barter prices. 3.3.5. Interrepublican trade prices. 3.3.6. Magnitude of distortions in current energy prices. 3.3.7. Energy price outlook for the near future. 3.4. Market reforms and future patterns of energy consumption. 3.4.1. Methodology and main underlying assumptions for consumption projections. 3.4.2. Projected trends in energy consumption under alternative scenarios -- 4. FSU Energy Exports, International Markets and Eastern Europe.
• 4.2. The significance of the FSU as energy exporter prior to the reforms. 4.3. Projections of energy exports from the FSU. 4.4. FSU export supply and world energy markets. 4.4.1. International energy market reactions to changes in supply. 4.4.2. The price impact of shifting FSU exports. 4.5. Implications for Eastern Europe. 4.5.2. The impact of FSU export shortfalls -- 4.5.3. Conclusions.

ISBN

• 0333606345
• 0312120141

LCCN

93031487

OCLC

• 28890502
• ocm28890502

Owning Institutions

Columbia University Libraries