Research Catalog

Title

Geological risk and uncertainty in oil exploration / Ian Lerche.

Author

Lerche, I. (Ian)

Publication

San Diego, Calif. : Academic Press, 1997.

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Holdings

Details

Description

xvi, 658 pages : illustrations, maps; 24 cm

Summary

• Oil exploration is a high-risk game. With worldwide drilling success of only 10% and a typical price tag of $15 million per well, it is no surprise the oil industry seeks better methods of managing financial risk. Geological Risk and Uncertainty in Oil Exploration answers this need by identifying the various uncertainties associated with basin analysis and incorporating this information into probabilistic models of basin evolution in relation to oil accumulation.
• Oil and gas explorationists, strategic resource economists, and petroleum professionals who deal with scientific uncertainty and risk issues will benefit from the book's systematic treatment of how to quantify the uncertainty associated with a variety of geological, geophysical, and geochemical problems.
• The origin of uncertainties associated with flexural plate motion models, dynamical models of sediment evolution, thermal models of sediment maturation, hydrocarbon kinetic models, fault models, and models of basinal sediment fill and turbidite flows are detailed in the first section. The subsequent incorporation of model uncertainties into probabilistic models of basin evolution and behavior constitutes the second half of the book.
• Throughout, the author interweaves a discussion of scientific probability, risk, and strategy within the context of improving our ability to assess strategic hydrocarbon resources.

Subjects

• Petroleum reserves > Forecasting > Statistical methods
• Petroleum > Prospecting > Statistical methods
• Risk assessment

Bibliography (note)

• Includes bibliographical references (p. 639-654) and index.

Contents

1. Introduction -- 2. Flexural Plate Motion: Elastic, Thermo-Elastic, and Plastic-Elastic Models -- 3. Dynamic Models of Sediment Evolution and Their Uncertainties -- 4. Thermal Models of Sediment Maturation and Their Uncertainties -- 5. Hydrocarbon Kinetic Models and Their Uncertainties -- 6. Variable Total Organic Carbon and Variable Solubility Considerations -- 7. Faults: Open or Shut? -- 8. Models of Basinal Sediment Fill, Turbidite Flows, and Their Uncertainties -- 9. The Uncertainty of Age -- 10. The Uncertainty of Information -- 11. Assigning Risk to Scientific Results -- 12. Strategies for Model Use.

ISBN

0124441742

LCCN

97009787

OCLC

• 36573701
• ocm36573701

Owning Institutions

Columbia University Libraries