Research Catalog

Title

Prediction : science, decision making, and the future of nature / edited by Daniel Sarewitz, Roger A. Pielke, Jr., and Radford Byerly, Jr.

Publication

Washington, D.C. : Island Press, [2000], ©2000.

Items in the Library & Off-site

Holdings

Details

Additional Authors

• Sarewitz, Daniel R.
• Pielke, Roger A., Jr., 1968-
• Byerly, Radford.

Description

xv, 405 pages : illustrations; 24 cm

Summary

"Prediction offers a wide-ranging look at the scientific, political, and social factors involved in using science-based predictions to guide policy. The book includes ten case studies on subjects ranging from asteroid paths to climate change to nuclear waste disposal, and it proposes a practical framework for the use of predictive science."--BOOK JACKET.

Subjects

• Science and state
• Forecasting
• Decision making

Bibliography (note)

• Includes bibliographical references and index.

Contents

• Introduction: Death, Taxes, and Environmental Policy / Daniel Sarewitz, Roger A. Pielke, Jr. and Radford Byerly, Jr. -- 1. Prediction in Science and Policy / Daniel Sarewitz and Roger A. Pielke, Jr. -- 2. Why Predict? Historical Perspectives on Prediction in Earth Science / Naomi Oreskes -- 3. Uncertainty, Judgment, and Error in Prediction / Thomas R. Stewart -- 4. Short-Term Weather Prediction: An Orchestra in Need of a Conductor / William H. Hooke and Roger Pielke, Jr. -- 5. Flood Prediction: Immersed in the Quagmire of National Flood Mitigation Strategy / Stanley A. Changnon -- 6. The Asteroid/Comet Impact Hazard: Homo Sapiens as Dinosaur? / Clark R. Chapman -- 7. Predicting Earthquakes: Science, Pseudoscience, and Public Policy Paradox / Joanne M. Nigg -- 8. What You Know Can Hurt You: Predicting the Behavior of Nourished Beaches / Orrin H. Pilkey -- 9. Is This Number to Your Liking? Water Quality Predictions in Mining Impact Studies / Robert E. Moran --
• 10. From Tin Roof to Torn Wet Blanket: Predicting and Observing Groundwater Movement at a Proposed Nuclear Waste Site / Daniel Metlay -- 11. Oil and Gas Resource Appraisal: Diminishing Reserves, Increasing Supplies / Donald L. Gautier -- 12. Predictive Modeling of Acid Rain: Obstacles to Generating Useful Information / Charles Herrick -- 13. Prediction and Other Approaches to Climate Change Policy / Steve Rayner -- 14. Alternatives to Prediction / Ronald D. Brunner -- 15. Prediction in Society / Dale Jamieson -- 16. Prediction and Characteristic Times / Radford Byerley, Jr. -- 17. A Decision Framework for Prediction in Environmental Policy / Charles Herrick and J. Michael Pendleton -- 18. Decision Making and the Future of Nature: Understanding and Using Predictions / Roger A. Pielke, Jr., Daniel Sarewitz and Radford Byerly, Jr.

ISBN

• 1559637757 (cloth : alk. paper)
• 1559637765 (pbk. : alk. paper)

LCCN

00008179

OCLC

• ocm43397046
• SCSB-3866692

Owning Institutions

Columbia University Libraries