Research Catalog

Title

The essential Herman Kahn : in defense of thinking / edited by Paul Dragos Aligica and Kenneth R. Weinstein.

Author

Kahn, Herman, 1922-1983.

Publication

Lanham : Lexington Books, [2009], ©2009.

Items in the Library & Off-site

Holdings

Details

Additional Authors

• Aligică, Paul Dragoș.
• Weinstein, Kenneth R., 1961-

Description

vii, 277 pages; 23 cm

Uniform Title

Works. Selections. 2009

Alternative Title

Works. 2009

Subjects

• Forecasting > History > 20th century > Sources
• Futurologists > United States > Biography
• Kahn, Herman, 1922-1983 > Influence
• Futurologists > United States > History > 20th century > Sources

Bibliography (note)

• Includes bibliographical references (p. 273-274) and index.

Contents

Introduction / Paul Dragos Aligica and Kenneth R. Weinstein -- Pt. I. Thinking about the Unthinkable: Scenarios, Grand Strategy, and Thermonuclear War -- 1. In Defense of Thinking -- 2. Twelve Nonissues and Twelve Almost Nonissues -- 3. The Revolution in Warfare: Continuities and Discontinuities -- 4. On Escalation -- 5. Seizing the Moral, Political, and Strategic High Ground -- Pt. II. A World Turning Point: Economic Growth, Cultural Change, and the Long View -- 6. The Big Picture - and Some Details: Watersheds of History -- 7. Viewing Crowth in Context -- 8. Four Characteristic Views of Two Basic Images of the Earth-Centered Perspective -- 9. Some Current Cultural Contradictions of Economic Growth: The New Emphases -- 10. Economic Development: Economic and Cultural Parameters -- 11. The Alienated-Affluent Society -- Pt. III. The Challenge of the Future: Futurology, Methodology, and Policy Research -- 12. The Objectives of Future-Oriented Policy Research -- 13. The Agnostic Use of Information and Concepts -- 14. Forecasting the Future: History Happens in Straight Lines and Curves -- 15. A Methodological Framework: The Alternative World Futures Approach -- 16. The Method of Classes of Variables -- 17. Ways to Go Wrong -- 18. Technological Innovation: Mistakes of Omission and Commission -- Pt. IV. The Task Ahead: Observations, Recommendations, and Parting Polemics -- 19. The Normative Perspective and the Ideology of Tomorrow -- 20. Transitional Problems -- 21. The Expert and Educated Incapacity -- 22. Current Western Cultural Trends -- 23. Futurology and the Future of Economic Development -- 24. The Task Ahead -- Appendix. Herman Kahn: A Bio-Bibliographical Note / Paul Dragos Aligica and Kenneth R. Weinstein.

ISBN

• 9780739128282 (cloth : alk. paper)
• 0739128280 (cloth : alk. paper)
• 9780739128299 (pbk. : alk. paper)
• 0739128299 (pbk. : alk. paper)
• 9780739135143 (electronic)
• 0739135147 (electronic)

LCCN

• 2008055654
• 40016736952

OCLC

• ocn298128853
• 298128853
• SCSB-5471391

Owning Institutions

Columbia University Libraries