Research Catalog
The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable / Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
- Title
- The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable / Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
- Author
- Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, 1960-
- Publication
- New York : Random House Trade Paperbacks, c2010.
- Supplementary Content
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Not available - Please for assistance. | Text | Request in advance | Q375 .T35 2010 | Off-site |
Not available - Please for assistance. | Text | Use in library | Off-site |
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Details
- Description
- xxxiii, 444 p. : ill.; 21 cm.
- Summary
- Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.
- Subject
- Note
- Originally published in hardcover and in slightly different form by Random House in 2007.
- Bibliography (note)
- Includes bibliographical references (p. [400]-429) and index.
- Contents
- Prologue -- Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans -- Postscript essay: on robustness an fragility, deeper philosophical and empirical reflections. Learning from mother nature, the oldest and the wisest ; Why I do all this walking, or how systems become fragile ; Margaritas ante porcos ; Asperger and the ontological black swan ; (Perhaps) the most useful problem in the history of modern philosophy ; Fourth quadrant, the solution to that most useful of problems ; What to do with the fourth quadrant ; Ten principles for a black-swan-robust society ; Amor fati: how to become indestructible.
- ISBN
- 081297381X
- 9780812973815 (pbk.)
- LCCN
- 2010292618
- 99941228110
- OCLC
- 1023353344
- on1023353344
- Owning Institutions
- Columbia University Libraries