A psychologist between logos and ethos / Joachim I. Krueger -- The gambler's fallacy and a coin's memory / Eric Gold and Gordon Hester -- Being an advocate for linear models of judgment is not an easy life / Hal R. Arkes -- What makes improper linear models tick? / Jason Dana -- Why meta-science should be irresistible to decision researchers / David Faust -- The robust beauty of simple associations / Joachim I. Krueger -- When it's rational for the majority to believe that they are better than average / Don Moore and Deborah Small -- Wishful thinking in predicting world cup results / Maya Bar-Hillel, David V. Budescu, and Moty Amar -- How expectations affect behavior / Cristina Bicchieri -- Depersonalized trust and ingroup cooperation / Marilynn B. Brewer -- Must good guys finish last? / David Messick -- Womens beliefs about breast cancer risk factors : a mental models approach / Stephanie J. Byram ... [et al.] -- Groups and the evolution of good stories and good choices / Linnda R. Caporael -- The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making / Robyn M. Dawes -- Behavior, communication, and assumptions about other people's behavior in a commons dilemma situation / Robyn M. Dawes, Jeanne McTavish and Harriet Shaklee.