Research Catalog
Persistent forecasting of disruptive technologies : report 2 /
- Title
- Persistent forecasting of disruptive technologies : report 2 / Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies, Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, National Research Council of the National Academies.
- Author
- National Research Council (U.S.). Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies. http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2010023062
- Publication
- Washington : National Academies Press, 2010
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| Status | Format | Access | Call Number | Item Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Not available - Please for assistance. | Text | Use in library | T174 .N38 2010b | Off-site |
Details
- Description
- xiv, 82 p. : col. ill.; 28 cm. +
- Subject
- Note
- Accompanying CD-ROM contains figures (JPEG images) from chapter 2 and appendix F and transcripts (PDF files) from appendixes D and E.
- Bibliography (note)
- Includes bibliographical references.
- Contents
- SUMMARY -- 1. INTRODUCTION -- 2. MODEL DESIGN OPTIONS FOR FORECASTING SYSTEMS: First forecasting system - intelligence cycle option -- Second forecasting system - roadmapping option -- Third forecasting system - crowdsourced option -- Fourth forecasting system - storytelling option -- Evaluation of models and the activity -- 3. ANALYSIS AND FINAL THOUGHTS: Can a next-generation persistent disruptive technology forecasting system be build using exiting technologies and methods? -- Features of a next-generation system -- Characteristics of a next-generation forecasting system -- Laying a foundation for subsequent steps -- APPENDIXES.
- ISBN
- 0309149045
- 9780309149044
- Owning Institutions
- Princeton University Library