Research Catalog
Theater analysis and modeling in an era of uncertainty : the present and future of warfare
- Title
- Theater analysis and modeling in an era of uncertainty : the present and future of warfare / Bruce W. Bennett [and others].
- Publication
- Santa Monica, CA : Rand, 1994.
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Status | Format | Access | Call Number | Item Location |
---|---|---|---|---|
Text | Use in library | U150 .T49 1994 | Off-site |
Details
- Additional Authors
- Description
- xxxvi, 86 pages : illustrations; 28 cm
- Summary
- Within the U.S. defense community, there is no agreed-upon perception of how warfare is evolving. This report presents the results of war gaming and analysis on the future of warfare. It structures its findings around four issues: (1) warfare will be dominated by uncertainty and variability; (2) adversaries will seek new patterns of warfare to effectively oppose the United States; (3) asymmetrical battles will characterize war; and (4) weapons of mass destruction cast a shadow over almost all future contingencies. It proposes that analysis and modeling must evolve to: (1) reflect the significant differences in the warfare environment that will exist between theaters; (2) focus on strategic and operational events, variations, and uncertainties; (3) adopt a "counter-capabilities" approach to defining military threats; (4) adopt a new approach of developing simple but more comprehensive models; (5) address issues associated with the regional shadow of weapons of mass destruction; and (6) develop new procedures for presenting the uncertainties of analyses to decisionmakers.
- Subject
- Note
- "Prepared for the Director of Net Assessment, Secretary of Defense."
- "MR-380-NA."
- Bibliography (note)
- Includes bibliographical references (p. 83-86).
- ISBN
- 0833015117
- 9780833015112
- LCCN
- 94004161
- OCLC
- ocm29876941
- 29876941
- SCSB-2011216
- Owning Institutions
- Princeton University Library