Research Catalog

Theater analysis and modeling in an era of uncertainty : the present and future of warfare

Title
Theater analysis and modeling in an era of uncertainty : the present and future of warfare / Bruce W. Bennett [and others].
Publication
Santa Monica, CA : Rand, 1994.

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StatusFormatAccessCall NumberItem Location
TextUse in library U150 .T49 1994Off-site

Details

Additional Authors
  • Bennett, Bruce W., 1952-
  • United States. Department of Defense. Director of Net Assessment.
  • National Defense Research Institute (U.S.)
Description
xxxvi, 86 pages : illustrations; 28 cm
Summary
Within the U.S. defense community, there is no agreed-upon perception of how warfare is evolving. This report presents the results of war gaming and analysis on the future of warfare. It structures its findings around four issues: (1) warfare will be dominated by uncertainty and variability; (2) adversaries will seek new patterns of warfare to effectively oppose the United States; (3) asymmetrical battles will characterize war; and (4) weapons of mass destruction cast a shadow over almost all future contingencies. It proposes that analysis and modeling must evolve to: (1) reflect the significant differences in the warfare environment that will exist between theaters; (2) focus on strategic and operational events, variations, and uncertainties; (3) adopt a "counter-capabilities" approach to defining military threats; (4) adopt a new approach of developing simple but more comprehensive models; (5) address issues associated with the regional shadow of weapons of mass destruction; and (6) develop new procedures for presenting the uncertainties of analyses to decisionmakers.
Subject
  • Since 1989
  • Military planning
  • War games
  • World politics > 1989-
  • World politics
  • Kriegführung
  • Prognose
Note
  • "Prepared for the Director of Net Assessment, Secretary of Defense."
  • "MR-380-NA."
Bibliography (note)
  • Includes bibliographical references (p. 83-86).
ISBN
  • 0833015117
  • 9780833015112
LCCN
94004161
OCLC
  • ocm29876941
  • 29876941
  • SCSB-2011216
Owning Institutions
Princeton University Library